22nd August 2018

A Look At The UK Markets Most Exposed To The Recent Interest Rate Hikes

With the Bank of England raising interest rates, heavily indebted companies are going to find the cost of servicing their debt just got that little bit more expensive. Plimsoll has taken a deeper look at the UK markets most vulnerable to more expensive debt repayments.

Having analysed 1600 different UK markets, Plimsoll was able to identify the industries where the level of debt as a percentage of sales was worryingly high. These are the areas of the economy where problems are likely if monetary policy tightens aggressively.

The following is a breakdown of the 10 markets in the UK economy with the biggest average increase in debt companies have taken on in the latest year:

Industry

Increase in average debt

Payroll Services

97%

Accident Repair Centres

94%

Construction Management

76%

Cold Storage

74%

Risk Management

74%

Retail Butchers

62%

Funeral Directors

57%

Ceiling Contractors

54%

Opticians

53%

Lighting Retailers

52%

 

Christopher Evans, Senior Analyst at Plimsoll explains, “While there are no immediate signals that this is the first of a series of increases, this increase should a shot across the bows of many companies and industries where there is a growing tendency to run based on debt”. Word maybe missing from this sentenc? Not sure what word though.

“One of the phenomena of the post 2008 economy has been zombie companies surviving on the back of cheap money. That period could be coming to an end as debt becomes more expensive to service. The industries we have listed here certainly have an increased appetite for debt recently. Further rate rises could stop momentum in those markets pretty quickly”.

Are some markets doing the opposite?

There are many industries where debt is being reduced on a significant scale. The following 10 industries have seen the biggest decline in average debt in the latest year:

Industry

Decline in average debt

Cosmetic Surgeons

64%

Electrical Distributors

58%

Print Finishers

56%

Garden Buildings

54%

Pest Control

53%

Roller Shutter Manufacturers

53%

Carpet Planning & Fitting

52%

Contract Hire & Vehicle Leasing

52%

Powder Coatings

51%

Communication Towers & Masts

50%

 

Evans explains, “Clearly, there has been a concerted effort in some industries to get debt as a percentage of sales down to a more manageable level while monetary policy is still loose. This removes any threat posed by interest rate rises in the future”.  

Find out how many companies in your market are vulnerable to the interest rate rise by visiting www.plimsoll.co.uk